Thursday, February 19, 2009

IS THE CENSUS AS WE KNOW IT GOING TO DISAPPEAR !

The Republicans are afraid that re-districting will occur and they may lose some congressional seats. I think the Red and Blue states will disappear. There will be a Democratic majority in every state. I hope that the census keeps to it's original intent.

The NYT reports today that Republicans are furious over Senator Judd Gregg's withdrawal as President Obama's pick for Commerce Secretary, because they believe it signals that the White House intends to "politicize" the 2010 census.

The concern in part relates to sampling, the statistical technique that extrapolates numbers based on actual door-to-door counts and knowledge of uncounted individuals, mostly the poor and racial and ethnic minorities (and mostly Democratic voters). But the Supreme Court ruled that sampling--at least as the basis for Congressional districting--violated the Census Act (Sec. 195) in the 1999 case Department of Commerce v. United States House. So the concern about "politicizing" the Census must be based on some other concern.

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